One thing I have noticed as I grow more mature [some will still dispute that 🙂 ] is that I remember sayings my Mother used to use frequently. I did not always understand from whence they came – or even to what they pertained … but remember them I do!
I could never quite get my head around the ‘assume’ one – When you assume, you make an ass out of you and me. Well that was until today when I read what Henry Ergas in The Australian said while exposing the ridiculously optimistic basis for the government’s carbon tax modelling. (Thanks to Australian Climate Madness for the info).
THE one thing you need to know about Treasury’s modelling of the carbon tax is this: it assumes that by 2016, the US and all the other developed economies that do not have carbon taxes or emissions trading systems in place will have them up and running.
This implies that in next year’s US presidential election, likely to be fought at a time of high unemployment, the winning candidate will campaign on the basis of introducing a carbon tax that will go from zero to $30 a tonne in a matter of months. And that tax will then not only get through Congress but in record time.
Moreover, that feat accomplished, by 2021 China will sign up too, and with 14 per cent of the world’s population and barely 20 per cent of world income, will agree to shoulder 34 to 35 per cent of the costs of global mitigation. As part of that deal, China’s leadership will accept a fall in national living standards, relative to business as usual, of between 5 and 10 per cent, while per capita incomes in the far wealthier US and European Union decline by a fraction of that amount. And with China on board, the rest of the world will join the party. (source)
Now in politics nothing is certain. You would be a real twit to bet on anything a politician tells you as being truth as you or I understand that word. Take for example a very recent, and some would say still ‘raw’ comment from Prime Minister Gillard.
To you and I that means there will be NO Carbon Tax whilst Julia is leading the Labor Government. To Julia it means a Carbon Tax will be introduced in 2012.
Obviously we, as members of the general public ASSUMED Julia meant one thing when quite obviously she meant something very different. By virtue of our assumption, Julia has made an Ass out of You and Me!
Most of us can read the writing on the wall; we just assume it’s addressed to someone else.
Before a man speaks it is always safe to assume that he is a fool. After he speaks, it is seldom necessary to assume it. H. L. Mencken
Every time I started going in the direction of thinking how it might turn out, I started to just turn my brain around and not go there, because I think the surest way to guarantee that you won’t win is to assume that you will. Brad Bird
I always assume that democracy is the only good form of government, quite frankly, and democracy is always to be preferred.
I don’t know why they’re doing it. I have to assume that their motives are positive, not negative. But they don’t understand the severity of the problem in this state. Gray Davis
So please don’t assume you can trust or understand anything you have been told, particularly by a politician – always ask for clarification, “did I understand you correctly?” – THAT WAY WHEN YOU FIND THEM OUT IN A LIE, or a blatant miscalculation, you won’t feel such an ass!