BP has admitted that the highly touted Top Kill effort has failed miserably. It was to have been their ‘best effort’ whilst the drilling of two further relief wells was taking place.
Will these relief wells actually work?
While BP’s new ‘patchwork attempt’ to staunch the horrendous oil flow is being tried (a cut and cap process to get the oil to come to the surface where it can be collected) two relief wells are being drilled – diagonally into the gushing well — a tricky business that won’t be ready until at least August.
“The probability of them hitting it on the very first shot is virtually nil,” said David Rensink, incoming president of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, who spent most of his 39 years in the oil industry in offshore exploration. “If they get it on the first three or four shots they’d be very lucky.”
For the relief well to succeed, the bore hole must precisely intersect the damaged well. If it misses, BP will have to back up its drill, plug the hole it just created, and try again.
The trial-and-error process could take weeks, but it will eventually work, scientists and BP said. Then engineers will then pump mud and cement through pipes to ultimately seal the well.
As the drilling reaches deeper into the earth, the process is slowed by building pressure and the increasing distance that well casings must travel before they can be set in place.
BP still says oil is gushing out at around 5,000 barrels per day, while a Purdue University estimate is at 70,000 barrels a day – BIG DIFFERENCE! Add it up, if that gusher keeps on spewing out at the current estimated flow rate, that’s an awful lot of pollution – an understatement me thinks!
“You can’t say with precision, but you can see there’s definitely more (oil) coming out of that pipe than people thought,” he said. “It’s definitely not 5,000 barrels a day.” (Associate Professor Steve Wereley)
2010 Hurricane Season Fast Approaches
I have been concerned about what will happen to all of this oil once the 2010 hurricane season arrives in the Gulf of Mexico. Of course the seas will get whipped up into a frenzy, and should one of the hurricanes pass over where the oil is collecting I felt that surely some of it would be sucked up into the developing storm.
My first place to visit for information on this was the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration web site, which told me categorically there would be no oil in rain related to a hurricane. I was dissatisfied (dare I say distrustful?) of that seemingly blasé comment, so went searching further for information.
If other things can get sucked up into cyclones and tornadoes, then surely a substance like oil, which is lighter than water could become part of the developing storm, and would eventually be dumped in the ensuing drenching that will take place – when the hurricane discharges its load!
Cats and Dogs, maybe fish and other weird things like oil!
There are numerous accounts of rains of frogs, hay, fish, and grain. All of these accounts seem to be due to tornado-like “whirlwinds.” A good whirlwind can lift thousands of pounds and carry objects for miles. There is one reliable account of a fishing boat that sailed into a large waterspout. Fish flew everywhere. There are about seventy recorded rains of fish, but nearly all of the rains of fish are small ones. There is, however, one account of a fish fall in India in which more than ten people picked up fish weighing up to eight pounds each. There are many accounts of rains of ice-coated ducks, grasshoppers, fish, and frogs, but there is no account of a raining of cats and dogs.
On the Signs of the Times website there is even a report of it raining oil in Florida. (May 26th, 2010)
Is it feasible and how might this happen?
Good question and again, it sent me off searching for an answer. I discovered the meteorological term ‘Loop Current’, see (Core Ring) which explained to me how a hurricane gathered intensity whilst passing over a body of water.
Warm ocean temperatures fuel hurricanes. Normally, though, surface temperatures of 26 degrees centigrade or higher only extend down about 30 to 40 meters. A passing storm draws some energy from the warm water as it passes, but it also stirs it, mixing it with cooler water from below and lowering the temperature of the surface water. The now-cooler surface water then provides less energy for the storm, keeping it from intensifying much further.
In a warm core ring, however, the warm water goes much deeper. It doesn’t cool that much when a storm passes because it doesn’t mix with cooler water from below. A hurricane passing over one of the rings, which are 180 to 220 kilometres in diameter, gets a rich, deep source of energy that, coupled with the right atmospheric conditions, can suddenly turbo-charge a hurricane and turn a minimal storm into a monster.
Could this ‘monster’ – another Katrina? draw up the surface oil…….. until proven otherwise, I believe it could!
Continued reading showed me that others too were asking questions about the possibility of oil being picked up via hurricanes and deposited inland. I was contemplating the ecological and financial, and health consequences; these others were looking at possible worse case scenarios I had not even contemplated.
What If ——–
‘The whole is greater than the sum of the parts’ was that Aristotle?
When a hurricane passes over water, it will often pick up some of the water, even more so in very hot weather. This adds mass to the hurricane. This is how a hurricane grows from category 3 to 4 to 5. Conversely, when the hurricane passes over land, it loses water and shrinks in size.
Oil is lighter than water, which is why it floats on water. If a hurricane can pick up water, it can certainly pick up oil. So, hurricanes can very easily spread this oil over land.
To make matters worse, it is likely that if this happens, it will atomize the oil (nothing to do with atoms; this means the oil will spread into tiny droplets). Just like in a grain elevator, the particles now have a high surface-area-to-volume ratio, creating high combustibility.
This could turn the hurricane into a giant incendiary bomb several hundred miles in diameter. All it takes is lightning or broken power lines to set it off.
And, if the hurricane has coated cities and farms with a thin film of oil, when the airborne oil ignites, it could also ignite the film of oil on cities, farms and wildlife.
To Wrap Up:
This disaster is being touted as the worst oil disaster in the history of the USA, and there is no doubt that the questions and accusations will go on for years to come. Speculation about whether this was an accident, if it was bad planning, if it was caused by corporate greed, if it was a deliberate attack done to destabilize America – can go on forever and a day – what the average Joe Blow wants to know is how it is going to affect him and his family. These are the answers that need addressing immediately – and so far do not seem to have been forthcoming.
Is the fast approaching hurricane season another devastation Joe Blow and his family need to be protected from…… not only from the winds and rain and floods and damage usually expected – but from the possible effects of OIL raining from the skies above?
A child describing angels once said:
When an angel gets mad, he takes a deep breath and counts to ten. And when he lets out his breath again, somewhere there’s a tornado – (or could that be a hurricane? )
Some Angel must be mighty mad about now me thinks!
NOAH categorically denies that any hurricane with cause oil to rain down:
Will there be oil in the rain related to a hurricane?
• No. Hurricanes draw water vapor from a large area, much larger than the area covered by oil, and rain is produced in clouds circulating the hurricane.
Cats and Dogs – raining
FISH fell from the sky
Is it raining oil in Florida?
Hurricane Season Dates
Hurricane season in the Atlantic begins June 1st and ends November 30th. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15th and also ends November 30th.
Ocean “Fuel Injectors” Linked to Hurricane Intensification – Loop Currents
Worst Oil Disaster in the USA
‘The whole is greater than the sum of the parts’ was that Aristotle? You could use the term synergy: ‘the interaction or cooperation of two or more organizations, substances, or other agents to produce a combined effect greater than the sum of their separate effects’ (New Oxford Dictionary of English).